Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 47.682923 53.865897 60.289137 67.439127 75.154626 83.209194 92.232824
2025-04-27 38.106061 47.071761 56.936740 68.503119 81.599192 95.877704 112.531607
2025-05-04 32.629477 42.953958 54.776994 69.127959 85.887305 104.660235 127.095210
2025-05-11 29.612253 41.141117 54.789627 71.826599 92.212693 115.527293 143.905059
2025-05-18 26.433967 38.674939 53.628452 72.781086 96.205670 123.490652 157.233483
2025-05-25 22.660334 35.030463 50.646544 71.180185 96.848782 127.290108 165.519710
2025-06-01 19.803014 32.266296 48.493147 70.349558 98.212982 131.785830 174.516269
2025-06-08 17.662827 30.244682 47.102734 70.311130 100.420236 137.208287 184.578082
2025-06-15 16.574075 29.578084 47.416837 72.410901 105.288794 145.900113 198.665274
2025-06-22 15.026684 28.092626 46.490604 72.766247 107.847341 151.684056 209.180856
2025-06-29 13.683869 26.780584 45.695403 73.205906 110.451299 157.494414 219.735412
2025-07-06 11.806260 24.454382 43.294815 71.299829 109.841204 159.131649 225.001742
2025-07-13 11.255297 24.230163 43.961836 73.714174 115.097670 168.447742 240.198380
2025-07-20 10.442881 23.501006 43.831742 74.981084 118.818964 175.829842 253.036556
2025-07-27 9.560477 22.558955 43.303921 75.617532 121.642221 182.029605 264.380094
2025-08-03 9.269966 22.626049 44.316916 78.493906 127.575127 192.363003 281.132247
2025-08-10 8.596457 21.932906 44.086475 79.507351 130.906813 199.270746 293.492692
2025-08-17 7.438365 20.208120 42.098248 77.805529 130.353077 200.955499 299.026080
2025-08-24 6.557008 18.907278 40.707285 76.922061 130.892725 204.063307 306.404768
2025-08-31 5.908990 17.995749 39.900746 76.881198 132.602679 208.737683 315.858474
2025-09-07 5.685549 17.948186 40.554724 79.114054 137.619928 217.951184 331.395270
2025-09-14 5.190773 17.257485 40.050052 79.491802 139.918011 223.448498 342.012977
2025-09-21 4.751176 16.634146 39.621612 79.959130 142.331681 229.107652 352.872976